Forecast Lab · AI Assistant

Predict AI

Ask about earthquake likelihoods, b-values, return periods, or recent activity. Answers are grounded in the live USGS catalog over the Philippine bounding box plus the Forecast Lab's statistical models (Gutenberg–Richter, Bayesian Gamma–Poisson, ETAS productivity).

Experimental research forecastThese probabilities are statistical descriptions of the recent catalog using the Gutenberg–Richter relation. They are not predictions of any specific earthquake. For life-safety warnings, refer only to PHIVOLCS and NDRRMC.

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